| The 60/40 portfolio is a classicist investor's dream. It's supposed to strike the perfect balance between risk-on growth and risk-off stability that can withstand the test of time, even as you start to get some grays. Sure, it had a bad year in 2022 (down about -16%), but who didn't? The 60/40 proved resilient yet again last year, posting a gain of around 17%. Validated yet again after a strong rebound performance, it's safe to assume that the 60/40 is back, right? In some ways, yes. But new data suggests an alternative. - A new paper, titled Beyond the Status Quo: A Critical Assessment of Lifecycle Investment Advice, unveiled a joint study among finance departments at several universities. Their findings? Going all-out on equity usually comes out as a win.
- They ran a million simulations for the average American household and found that, if investors split their holdings between 50% domestic and 50% international stocks, the average outcome was a starting retirement balance of $1.07M, whereas those who followed the 60/40 would've had about $760,000, and target-date fund holders ended up with about $810,000.
- Their research also found that, as a result, those in the all-equity simulation were less likely to deplete their retirement savings (8%) compared to the 60/40 group (16%).

Does this mean you should abandon fixed-income strategies? - Probably not entirely. Investing is a very personal thing, and the unique details of your financial situation combined with your goals should ultimately govern how you elect to divvy up your portfolio.
- We all know that stocks hold way more upside than bonds — this is not new information, it's always been true, but this data sheds a revealing, matter-of-fact light on the reality.
- As is with anything, there's a trade-off that comes with aiming for the best of both worlds. Investing is a cost-benefit analysis just as much as anything else is in life, and where you fall on the allocation spectrum is ultimately a personal decision.
💡 Top tip: An Origin financial planner can help you decide what kind of portfolio mix is best suited for your unique situation. |